Yes, the ‘artist’ on the left in the picture above is Volodymyr Zelensky playing the piano with his dick. This was, of course, before he entered politics and became the reincarnation of Winston Churchill. This was also a time when he still knew how to dress.
The Ukraine war is still far from being declared dead officially, but we can already see the potential outcomes. We can already perform a zombie autopsy. You will have to forgive me for the occasional vulgarity of words and thought. Just like with my previous post, Covid-23 - a zombie autopsy, I will limit the links in the post itself.
Background – the history of neocolonialism
To understand the situation today, we will have to go back all the way to the end of World War II.
Three things happened, more or less the same time: The cold war started, NATO was formed and the colonial empires started to fall apart. It was also the age of the formation of international organizations.
World Bank & IMF (1944); UN, UNESCO, ICJ (1945); WHO (1948); NATO (1949); OECD (1961) and let’s not forget the ITO/GATT/WTO.
Most of these organizations were (and still are) controlled by and serving US/Western interests, while the US increasingly fell under the control of special interest groups within the US itself.
Think military industrial complex, the whole energy sector, the pharmaceutical and the agricultural industries.
Think globalist organizations and transnational corporations that are dependent on the political and military support of the United States for their global operations.
Think globalist interest groups like the Club of Rome, the Bilderberg group, the Council on Foreign Relations, and recently (and most openly), the World Economic Forum.
For the duration of the cold war, the third world was an ideological battleground with subversions, regime changes and proxy wars instigated by both sides. After communism fell in the Soviet block, the West declared victory. Francis Fukuyama called it “The end of history”. It was seen as an ideological victory, the proof of the uncontestable supremacy of Western liberalism.
Except that it wasn’t, and isn’t. Like Yogi Berra’s future, Western liberalism ain’t what it used to be.
Being the only power left standing, the US was left free to expand and strengthen its hegemonic power. It was left free to get into ever more insane military adventures for its ever more naked self interest.
Not that it was ever really different. The collective West and the international organizations under their control were shamelessly taking advantage of the rest of the world since their inception.
Let me give you three examples: agricultural subsidies, the helping hands of the IMF and public health.
Agricultural subsidies in the Western world are distorting market signals and creating a surplus that is dumped as ‘aid’ on the third world, destroying traditional farming in most of Africa, making them more dependent on foreign aid and industrial monoculture food production.
The help is devastating.The World Bank/IMF playbook goes something like this: find a depressed country with a corruptible political leadership and lots of natural resources that they do not have the capital to develop. Offer them money and when they waste it through incompetence or corruption, send in the IMF with the free market ideas. All resources will need to be privatized and sold for peanuts to Global Corporations which will be happy to profit from it.
While there are many decent public health initiatives in Africa, some are decidedly un-healthy.
Big Pharma is using the whole continent as a testing ground without bothersome safety protocols. The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundations, GAVI and even the WHO are administering drugs and vaccines that were banned in the West for safety reasons. They are even sterilizing women without their knowledge and consent. Gates happen to be a devoted de-populationist.
You can decide whether you should find this depressing or revolting, but I hope we can agree that classical colonialism with “The white man’s burden” was far more benign.
In the meantime, Western civilization is getting bankrupt. Morally, culturally, fiscally, demographically.
Marxism didn’t die with the collapse of the USSR. It is more alive than ever. It morphed into a disease consuming Western societies from the inside. Critical theory created endless internal conflicts through identity politics; socialist policies created obligations that cannot be met; limitless borrowing destroyed even the semblance of fiscal responsibility; there is crime and an uneven application of the law; a constant erosion of individual liberties; a deep and structural corruption of the sciences; a constant rewriting, denial and rejection of our Western cultural heritage; a historically unprecedented level of sexual deviance and decadence; a rejection of traditional values and I could go on for a long time. I explored these subjects in a little more detail in The foundation of theories.
You must be wondering by now what on earth does any of this have to do with the war in Ukraine?
Well, everything. The Western world represents about 1/8th of the world’s population. When the rest, the other 7/8th, looks at the West, they do not like what they see, and I find it difficult to disagree with them. What is there to like? The arrogance? The posturing? The condescension? The hypocrisy? The shameless opportunism? The decadence and the perversion?
The answers to these questions are the roots of the conflict.
The process – the rules based international disorder
Lord Hastings of Ismay, the first secretary general of NATO said at some point that:
“NATO exists for three reasons – to keep the Russians out, the Americans in and the Germans down”
The USA became an overextended global empire that passed its zenith. Like any other empire in history, it is trying to compensate for its internal weaknesses with the projection of its hegemonic power.
In an informal conversation in February 1990, U.S. Secretary of State James Baker assured Gorbachev that if he consents to the reunification of Germany, NATO will not expand “one inch to the East”.
That commitment was never formalized into a treaty. What was formalized in the Budapest memorandum in January 1992 is the independence of Ukraine, Belorus and Kazakhstan.
NATO lost its reason d’être, but not its will to live on, to expand and to grow. With each wave of NATO expansion to the East, Russia protested, but the protests were always dismissed.
Russia’s attempts to integrate its economy into the Western world were also consistently snubbed.
There are declassified documents going back all the way to 1992 to show American plans to subjugate Russia. The US always considered the possibility of a strong, independent and economically successful Russia a threat, and its potential conquest or control through a puppet regime a juicy price.
Western mining and oil companies would love to have a stake in Russia’s natural resources.
The Western military Industrial complex loves the profit it makes from endless wars.
The work on the encirclement of Russia started soon after the birth of the new Russian state. It should also be clear that Russia is just a step toward the final price: China. The CIA, the State Department and George Soros’ Open Society Foundation was responsible for both the Rose revolution in Georgia and the Orange revolution of Ukraine.
Between 1992 and 2014, the overwhelmingly Russian population of Crimea had EIGHT referendums asking for independence with 85%+ majority votes. After the orange revolution, Russia came to their rescue.
One of the first acts of the Western installed puppet regime (with its cabinet members picked by Vitoria Nuland of the US State Department) was to rescind the official language status of Russian, depriving ethnic Russians of the right to educate their children in Russian. The ethnic Russian soldiers of the Ukrainian army in the Donbass walked away from their barracks with their weapons and started a rebellion.
The Minsk 1 and the Minsk 2 agreements ensued each promising self determination to both Donetsk and Luhansk. The agreements were never honored. The two Western signatories of the accord, François Holland and Angela Merkel publicly acknowledged in 2022 that they never had any intention to honour the agreement, they only signed it “to buy time to arm Ukraine”.
The US, the EU and NATO armed and trained the Ukrainian army. Since the war started, they spent about 140 billion dollars on it. That is close to Ukraine’s yearly GDP and more than the annual GDP of the world’s 40 poorest countries COMBINED. Without US help and provocation, the war would have never happened. Without NATO weapons and training, it would have been over in a week.
The war could have ended in a month, after Putin and Zelensky came to an agreement according to which: All Russian soldiers would be removed from Ukraine in return for recognition of Crimea as part of Russia, giving self determination to Donetsk and Luhansk and a commitment to neutrality, meaning no NATO or EU membership. The American errand boy Boris Johnson was immediately dispatched to Kyiv to slap some sense into Zelensky. Their American masters did not want peace. As a result, over 300 thousand Ukrainian soldiers died needlessly in a war that they cannot win.
The Western plan was to provoke Russia into the war, then ruin it with sanctions, diminish its military capabilities until a popular revolt removes Putin from office, opening the door to a Western controlled regime change.
No plan B. The story has Western arrogance written all over it. And yes, they are THAT stupid.
Nothing worked out as planned. Russia is doing better than ever economically, they destroyed the Ukrainian army, depleted Western stockpiles of armament and they successfully ramped up their own military production. The sanctions badly backfired, especially on the Europeans. Putin’s popularity is higher than ever and it seems that 7/8th of the world is on his side. The war is not over yet, but the Russians are doing fine, while the West have no idea what to do. They just keep throwing money at the problem. Money they don’t have.
The most likely outcome – the real new world order
Regardless of the outcome of the actual war, what we see is already an irreversible change in the geopolitical landscape. I said regardless, but there are two possibilities that I am not willing to entertain: Nuclear war and Western/Ukrainian victory. I hope that the first will not happen, and I believe that the second cannot possibly happen.
There are many possibilities in-between, but they are unimportant. Ukraine will be a smaller country; half the territory, quarter the economy, no access to the sea and probably a new government. There will be no NATO or EU membership. The West may or may not give up on it and the Ukrainians may or may not realize that it was never about them, that they were just disposable pawns on the geopolitical chess-board.
What matters are the changes it put in motion. This war is a catalyst for a geopolitical realignment. The Western World lost its appeal to the developing countries. They don’t want to be like the West any more.
They do not trust the West, they don’t like the decadence, the exploitation, the condescension and the rules based international disorder. They do not like to be ruled by the globalist institutions representing the interest of West, but not of the rest. The rest, which is organizing itself to create an alternative to the existing unipolar hegemonic order. There are 30 countries lined up to join the BRICS, to create a trading block NOT dependent on the West. They are dumping their dollar reserves and most likely will switch to the new gold-backed or basket currency and a new exchange mechanism.
The implications and the potentials are tremendous.
The US dollar will lose its reserve currency status resulting in more inflation and an inevitable economic decline. Both the US and the EU will have to face its structural weaknesses: debt and liabilities with an aging and declining population, with diminishing immigration.
We could speculate about what may happen, but that should be the subject for another post.
There are a number of other aspects I did not touch on, but there is a story I still want to share with you to illustrate one of them. Just consider the deeply offensive quip of John McCain:
Last Winter, while vacationing in the Caribbean, I met a Polish couple. Wonderful people, I really liked them both. On this question, we disagreed. I was a little taken back by his visceral and vehement hatred for the Russians. To a certain extent I can understand it. I saw Wajda’s Katyn, but then I also saw Wolyn, in which the Banderites were killing the Poles in the same war. I know a little about the complex and intertwined history of the Poles, the Ukrainians and the Russians.
But then my new Polish friend presented me with the only argument I did not consider before. It was about the pipelines and the growing economic cooperation between the Russians and the Germans. If these two gets close again, he said, that will be the end of Poland.
That is why the Americans blew up the Nord stream pipelines. They saw the economic cooperation between the Russians and the Germans as a threat to their hegemonic position. They see the cooperation between China and the Russians as a threat to their hegemonic position. They do not want to see the North Sea shipping route developed. Friend or foe, they don’t want neither Russia nor Germany to succeed. The new NATO doctrine is to keep everybody down.
The Americans do not have friends. They only have enemies and vassals. They would not hesitate for a moment sacrificing a million Poles in a senseless war if it would help their own interest. I wish my Polish friend could see that.
And what will happen to Zelensky? Maybe he can get back dicking around with the piano instead of history…….
Related posts from this blog
A question of morality
A question of morality - references
A question of Sanity
Related reading from others
Lavrov: When the Ukraine Conflict Ends, Globalism Will End, by Andrew Anglin - The Unz Review
References
Minsk agreements
Decision making centers will be destroyed. Russia warns US & UK
Theoretical lies of the World Bank (cadtm.org) with links to books about WB/IMF
An ABC of the ailing World Trade Organization (cadtm.org)
WHO Insider Blows Whistle on Gates and GAVI
Infographic: How much have NATO members spent on Ukraine? | Russia-Ukraine war News | Al Jazeera
Total bilateral aid to Ukraine by country & type 2023 | Statista
The following two are put here to illustrate the vicious stupidity of the war propagandists:
Is the West’s Talk of Russian Decolonization Wise? (foreignpolicy.com)
Russia Slides Into Civil War - The Atlantic
I had an email exchange about this post with a friend, sharing it here with his consent:
AM
It looks like you’ve gone as deep down the Ukraine rabbit hole as I have. I think your analysis nails it but I’m surprised you didn’t explore Hungary’s rather muted response towards the situation. They’re next to Ukraine and, given the Soviet Union’s invasion of Hungary in 1956, one would think they’d have as much to fear and hate about a supposedly revanchist Russia as any other European country. Of course, the mainstream narrative is that Orban is a Putin-esque autocrat so naturally he’s not 100% behind Ukraine. However, it seems to me that Orban, Szijjarto and crew have a much better grasp of the reality than the abysmal political leaders in Europe (hard to pick which place is the worst but I think it must be Germany) and, given the situation of the Hungarian minority in Ukraine, an understanding of the nasty strain of ethno-nationalism that exists within Ukraine which, as you pointed out, helped contribute to this catastrophe.
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ZGH
I do not pay enough attention to Hungarian politics, but my impression is that Orbán is the perfect example of what realpolitik looks like.
Hungary just does not want to be an enemy of Russia and Hungary is already the black sheep of the EU.
Hungarians is also quite dependent on the Russians for a few resources and they are not as stupid as the Germans – i.e.: not biting the hand that feeds them.
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AM
Yes, it appears that the Hungarians are the only ones in the Europe that practice realpolitik while maintaining a clear-eyed perspective on the situation (i.e. Russia is not Nazi Germany and Putin is not Hitler). I’ve noticed that there are still some politicians in Austria that do (perhaps influenced by their historical partners the Hungarians) and a few other individual exceptions here and there but beyond that, the state of European political leadership is appalling. A few exceptions in the US as well but, as far as I’m aware, none whatsoever in Canada (which, let’s face it, has evolved to become an analogue of the Western European socialist state with an intellectually vapid leadership that rivals that of Germany).
The other observation that you didn’t make is the way in which the emotional hysteria within the West passed seamlessly from covid to Ukraine (“war psychosis” is what the Hungarians are calling it… seemingly everyone in the West clamouring for war, nobody speaking up for negotiations and peace). It’s as though the psychic energy of the masses with all its emotionalism, sloganeering, lack of reason and perspective needed an outlet and the comic-book Ukraine narrative fit the bill.
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ZGH
That is the point of the whole series that I am trying to connect with the autopsy analogy in the titles. I made the point in fear porn utopias, and I will return to it.
I am working on the piece about AGI (again). I consider it to be the most alarming and dangerous of them all.
As for the Ukraine war, I am rather optimistic. The dethroning of the American hegemon and the creation of a genuinely multi-polar world order may be the best hope for humanity’s survival. It may be the solution for a number of problems we have. It will for sure get corrupted eventually, but it may give us a hundred years or two.
Just after I finished my post, I stumbled upon this video: https://youtu.be/-xcVy-Fta1I
Which led me to this article: https://ecfr.eu/publication/the-art-of-vassalisation-how-russias-war-on-ukraine-has-transformed-transatlantic-relations/
I mostly disagree with both the video and the very long article, but I do agree with the basic idea: the expression that can best describe the position of the European states vis-á-vis the USA is vassals.